Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.850451e-01 0.880509 1.100679 1.364080 1.667688 2.003862 2.401395
2025-05-11 3.944120e-01 0.627951 0.927026 1.324381 1.824997 2.422136 3.175369
2025-05-18 2.390253e-01 0.478879 0.828147 1.338272 2.030265 2.904792 4.061513
2025-05-25 1.326215e-01 0.350113 0.715260 1.301521 2.153180 3.285334 4.843491
2025-06-01 8.547845e-02 0.293642 0.689517 1.374796 2.422408 3.866032 5.907777
2025-06-08 4.776370e-02 0.229853 0.630104 1.380510 2.587778 4.309981 6.808690
2025-06-15 3.149067e-02 0.204440 0.631340 1.480122 2.895336 4.962066 8.011758
2025-06-22 1.849739e-02 0.174586 0.613254 1.540267 3.141889 5.534611 9.122648
2025-06-29 9.318069e-03 0.143716 0.581477 1.567761 3.333880 6.031796 10.140756
2025-07-06 3.197344e-03 0.108575 0.524294 1.534927 3.419553 6.370105 10.940000
2025-07-13 1.019115e-03 0.088558 0.498038 1.557257 3.595987 6.848005 11.948578
2025-07-20 1.803285e-04 0.071521 0.472052 1.574295 3.761211 7.311322 12.944674
2025-07-27 1.251067e-08 0.050531 0.420518 1.527950 3.813415 7.606858 13.714511
2025-08-03 NaN 0.033791 0.369985 1.472571 3.842483 7.864924 14.435085
2025-08-10 NaN 0.025274 0.347585 1.481060 3.990712 8.318644 15.459577
2025-08-17 NaN 0.016134 0.308975 1.438396 4.034697 8.601078 16.229037
2025-08-24 NaN 0.014077 0.313690 1.515076 4.319332 9.290484 17.635325
2025-08-31 NaN 0.009849 0.294757 1.520283 4.458654 9.739130 18.678072
2025-09-07 NaN 0.009369 0.309009 1.626131 4.809771 10.554344 20.303189
2025-09-14 NaN 0.007779 0.309559 1.689995 5.075941 11.230458 21.721744
2025-09-21 NaN 0.005703 0.299592 1.719153 5.269977 11.786997 22.961639
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003147 0.271639 1.684104 5.324011 12.102074 23.826038
2025-10-05 NaN 0.002077 0.261927 1.707858 5.505525 12.642096 25.053411